Main findings of the June global overview
- At the end of the main cereal season, good production prospects are expected in most parts of southern Africa. The leading maize suppliers – South Africa and Zambia – are expecting good maize harvests. Good maize prospects are also expected in Angola, Malawi, Mozambique, Namibia and Zimbabwe. Pastoral conditions are also favourable across the region, and good livestock production is expected.
- In East Africa, yield expectations of the first crop season in bimodal areas have improved compared to early-season expectations, except for areas in eastern Ethiopia and in central and western Uganda. Rainfall onset in unimodal areas started in June, but with below-average performance, leading to a delay in crop growth in north-western Ethiopia, in the north-western part of South Sudan and in the southern states of Sudan. The ongoing lean season will see increases in food insecurity, especially in areas affected by conflict in Sudan and South Sudan and in others experiencing protracted tensions, like parts of northern and central Ethiopia.
- In West and central Africa, crop conditions are generally favourable in the bimodal southern parts of the region, as crops have received sufficient water for their development. Early rainfall has been beneficial in most areas of the Sahel, supporting planting activities and early season crop development. A delayed start to the season and below-average crop conditions were observed in June in eastern Burkina Faso, northern Cameroon, southern Chad and central and northern Nigeria.
- In the Middle East and North Africa, the harvest of winter cereals was completedal or is under way with mixed prospects: close to average in Algeria, Iran and Iraq, poor in Morocco, very poor in Syria and above average in Tunisia. In Yemen, sorghum and millet are in the early vegetative growth stage under below-average moisture conditions, but the rainy season will start in July.
- In central Asia, the harvest of winter cereals is under way with average to above-average production prospects, except for southern Kazakhstan and northern Kyrgyzstan, where winter wheat yield prospects are below average. In northern and central Kazakhstan, spring wheat is growing under favourable moisture conditions. In Afghanistan, spring cereals have been growing under conditions of below-average rainfall since April and above-average temperatures. In South Asia, the planting of kharif crops in Pakistan and of aus and aman rice in Bangladesh started under favourable conditions. In Sri Lanka, the biomass conditions for second-season yala rice are good. In North Korea, heavy rainfall from April to June might have negatively affected wheat and barley harvests in June but was beneficial to maize and rice growth.
- In Latin America and the Caribbean islands, dry conditions and above-average temperatures in the second half of May have led to delays in sowing and the loss of crops sown earlier. As a result, poor vegetation conditions are observed in Guatemala, northern Honduras and Nicaragua. In key producing departments of Colombia and Haiti, and in Cuba, rainfall has been below average in the past month, compromising the progress of the recently established maize and rice cycles. Harvest prospects are favourable in Colombia (except for Casanare, Norte de Santander and Tolima departments), Ecuador (except for Guayas province), Haiti and Peru.
The next assessment is scheduled for the end of July 2025.
O artigo foi publicado originalmente em JRC.
