Ukraine experienced unusually dry conditions in summer in the southern and eastern oblasts, leading to well below-average yields for summer crops there. In contrast, an adequate water supply and the absence of severe heat stress supported a positive yield outlook in the northern and western regions, despite delayed development. The monitoring system continues to be enhanced through the use of high-resolution satellite data, enabling more precise, crop-specific analysis.
Slightly below average yield outlooks for winter crops
A dry start to the summer of 2025 negatively affected the final stages of winter crop development in the central oblasts. In the west, the harvesting campaign was hampered by excessive rainfall in July, which reduced the quality of both grains and rapeseed. Altogether, winter crop yield expectations were slightly below average. While production forecasts for wheat and rapeseed are above the five-year average, thanks to an increased sown area, barley production is expected to fall below average, as the area has been considerably reduced.
Positive summer crop yield outlooks in the west and north, negative in the south and east
Persistent rainfall deficits during most of the summer in the southern and eastern oblasts adversely affected grain maize, sunflower, and soybean yields. By contrast, the northern and western oblasts benefitted from adequate soil moisture, allowing summer crops to maintain yield potential despite delays from late sowing and emergence. At the national level, grain maize and soybean yields are forecast to exceed the five-year average, while sunflower yields are expected to remain below average.
Further agricultural information
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